"There are two kinds of forecasters: **those who don’t know, and those who don’t know they don’t know**,’ wrote Harvard economist [[John Kenneth Galbraith]]" --- **Tags** — [[quotes]], [[forecasting]], [[expectations]], [[planning-fallacy]], [[authority-bias]], [[hindsight-bias]], [[overconfidence-effect]], [[illusion-of-attention]], [[hedonic-treadmill]], [[the-black-swan]], [[fooled-by-randomness]], **Source** — [[202308101525 — B — The Art of Thinking Clearly]]