"... important decisions, remember that, at the intuitive level, **we have a soft spot for plausible stories**. Therefore, be on the lookout for convenient details and happy endings. Remember: **if an additional condition has to be met, no matter how plausible it sounds, it will become less, not more, likely**." -- --- **Tags** — [[quotes]], [[conjunction-fallacy]], [[story-bias]], [[base-rate-neglect]] **Source** — [[202308101525 — B — The Art of Thinking Clearly]]