"Induction seduces us and leads us to conclusions such as: ‘**Mankind has always survived, so we will be able to tackle any future challenges, too**.’ Sounds good in theory, but what we fail to realise is that **such a statement can “only come from a species that has lasted until now**. To assume that our existence to date is an induction of our future survival is a serious flaw in reasoning. Probably the most serious of all. -- --- **Tags** — [[quotes]], [[false-causality]], [[survivorship-bias]], [[induction]], [[forecasting]] **Source** — [[202308101525 — B — The Art of Thinking Clearly]]