" 'Don’t cross a river if it is (on average) four feet deep,’ warns [[Nassim Nicholas Taleb|Nassim Taleb]]" --- **Tags** — [[quotes]], [[fooled-by-randomness]], [[base-rate-neglect]], [[simple-logic]], [[regression-to-the-mean]], [[gambler-fallacy]], **Source** — [[202308101525 — B — The Art of Thinking Clearly]]