"In his [[Treatise on Human Nature]], the Scots philosopher [[David Hume]] posed the issue in the following way (as rephrased in the now famous black swan problem by [[John Stuart Mill]]): **No amount of observations of white swans can allow the inference that all swans are white, but the observation of a single black swan is sufficient to refute that conclusion**." --- **Tags** -- [[quotes]], [[the-black-swan]], [[forecasting]], [[making-decisions]], [[data-analytics]], [[statistics]], [[probability-distributions]], [[asymmetric-distributions]], **Source** -- [[202410121132 - B - Fooled by Randomness]]