"If you engaged in a Russian roulette–type strategy with a low probability of large loss, one that bankrupts you every several years, **you are likely to show up as the winner in almost all samples—except in the year when you are dead**." --- **Tags** -- [[quotes]], [[asymmetric-distributions]], [[forecasting]], [[making-decisions]], [[statistics]], [[data-analytics]] , [[fooled-by-randomness]] **Source** -- [[202410121132 - B - Fooled by Randomness]] **See Also** -- [[202410121151 - AtN - We tend to dismiss the unfavourable side of risk-taking]]