"Outside of this very specialized bookmaker-style profession, to be honest, **I am unable to answer the question of who’s lucky or unlucky. I can tell that person A seems less lucky than person B, but the confidence in such knowledge can be so weak as to be meaningless**. I prefer to remain a skeptic. People frequently misinterpret my opinion. I never said that every rich man is an idiot and every unsuccessful person unlucky, **only that in absence of much additional information it is preferable to reserve one’s judgment**. It is safer." --- **Tags** -- [[quotes]], [[fooled-by-randomness]], [[data-analytics]], [[statistics]], [[humility]], **Source** -- [[202410121132 - B - Fooled by Randomness]] **See Also** -- [[202410130945 - AtN - Embrace opportunities to acknowledge you do not have an opinion]]