"My goal is not to forecast, not to outline either stunning or depressing scenarios of what is to come. There is no need to extend this popular—but consistently failing—genre: **in the long run, there are too many unexpected developments and too many complex interactions that no individual or collective effort can anticipate**." ([Location 328](https://readwise.io/to_kindle?action=open&asin=B08SGC3TD3&location=328)) --- **Tags** -- [[quotes]], [[forecasting]], [[pessimism]], [[nihilism]], **Source** -- [[202412030828 - B - How the World Really Works]]