“In the deforestation sphere, we call this the ‘forest transition’ model. This curve has **four stages, which are defined by only two variables: how much forest a country has, and how this is changing from year to year**. - “In **Stage 1** – the Pre-Transition phase – a **country has lots of forest** and is not losing much of it over time. Deforestation might not be zero but is at a very low level. - ”In **Stage 2** – the Early Transition phase – **countries start to lose forests very rapidly**. Forest cover falls quickly, and the annual loss of forest is high. - ”In **Stage 3** – the Late Transition phase – **deforestation starts to slow** down again. At this stage, countries are still losing forest but at a lower rate than before. At the end of this stage, countries are approaching the ‘transition point’. - ”In **Stage 4** – the Post-Transition phase – countries pass through the transition from losing forest to gaining it. **Forests start to regrow naturally**, or countries may replant them. At the start of this phase, a country might not have much forest left, but it is making a comeback. “Hopefully, by the end of Stage 4, a country will have not only regrown some of its forest, but will be closing in on historical levels of cover. This might even be a whole stage of its own: Stage 5. ([Location 2057](https://readwise.io/to_kindle?action=open&asin=B0C3X6X695&location=2057))” --- **Tags** -- [[quotes]], [[deforrestation]], [[reforrestation]], [[climate-change]], [[technology]], [[growth]], [[just-transition]] **Source** -- [[260103133118 - B - Not the End of the World]]